National Capability Index

197 nations rated against 288 national capabilities — 56,736 rated cells — across the nine strategic domains of the National Capability Framework. Every published capability score is one integer out of 20; each level above it is an unweighted mean of the level below, so hard, soft and economic power each count for a third.
National Capability Ratings

197 National Assessments for 288 National Capabilities

2026 National Capability Ratings by Nation
Every nation's index score, its Pareto domination tier, then its three dimensions and the nine capability domains, all out of 20. Filter to a region, or sort any column; the rank re-numbers with the active filter. The Middle East is filtered in its own right rather than inside Asia Pacific, on the UN's Western Asia boundary — the same one thenation directory groups by.
Tier is the Pareto frontier over the nine domain scores: a nation is in tier 1 when no other nation beats it on all nine at once. It reads a nation's shape rather than its size, so it is not the index in another form: China sits seventh on the index and outside the frontier, while Switzerland and Finland reach it from thirteenth and fifteenth. Sorting on it puts tier 1 first and orders the index inside a tier, which is only somewhere for the rows to sit — a tier has no internal order.How this squares with the Pareto tiers in the analysis. No rating bands appear here: the seven bands are published at capability and capability group level, where a score still answers to the ladder it was judged against. Above that it is a mean of means. Read small gaps with care — the index carries a median coder standard deviation of 0.124, so the order inside a close run is not something the method can resolve.

Index scores by domain

National Capability Dimensions Hard Capability Soft Capability Econ Capability
# Nation Index Tier Hard Soft Econ CTSINSHCIIGIFSPITI
1 🇺🇸United States 18.0 T1 19.3 16.6 18.1 19.818.419.815.818.116.018.118.318.0
2 🇫🇷France 16.6 T1 16.7 16.6 16.5 16.516.617.116.117.716.116.716.016.9
3 🇬🇧United Kingdom 16.5 T1 16.2 16.6 16.6 16.216.016.316.217.116.517.415.916.5
4 🇩🇪Germany 16.4 T1 15.2 16.7 17.2 16.716.312.616.816.816.416.917.217.5
5 🇯🇵Japan 16.3 T1 15.7 16.1 17.0 17.116.813.316.615.815.817.016.617.3
6 🇰🇷South Korea 16.0 T1 15.6 15.9 16.5 16.116.314.416.515.515.816.116.616.7
7 🇨🇳China 15.6 T2 17.5 13.6 15.8 17.817.417.313.616.510.715.015.517.1
8 🇳🇱Netherlands 15.5 T1 14.0 16.0 16.5 14.015.812.116.714.716.716.516.416.6
9 🇸🇪Sweden 15.3 T1 13.4 16.2 16.2 13.514.912.016.914.817.116.316.615.7
10 🇸🇬Singapore 15.2 T1 13.0 15.2 17.4 12.614.512.117.213.115.217.816.218.1
11 🇨🇦Canada 15.1 T2 13.6 15.8 15.7 13.615.811.416.214.916.516.415.315.3
12 🇦🇺Australia 14.9 T2 13.6 15.9 15.4 12.215.612.916.314.816.616.414.814.9
13 🇨🇭Switzerland 14.7 T1 11.8 15.7 16.7 13.413.88.317.113.916.117.116.516.4
14 🇳🇴Norway 14.6 T2 12.3 16.1 15.5 10.514.911.516.614.417.116.414.915.2
15 🇫🇮Finland 14.5 T1 12.3 15.9 15.3 11.714.311.017.113.117.415.415.514.9
16 🇮🇱Israel 14.5 T2 14.9 14.1 14.3 14.813.816.215.013.114.314.014.913.9
17 🇹🇼Taiwan 14.0 T2 13.1 13.9 15.2 12.914.511.915.411.015.214.915.515.2
18 🇩🇰Denmark 13.9 T2 10.7 15.7 15.5 9.913.48.716.813.117.015.615.915.1
19 🇪🇸Spain 13.8 T3 12.7 14.4 14.2 11.615.011.614.514.314.514.213.714.6
20 🇮🇹Italy 13.7 T2 13.2 13.9 14.0 13.014.512.213.714.613.513.913.514.8
Capability Profiles

288 National Capabilities in 73 Capability Groups and 9 Capability Domains

2026 National Capability Ratings by Capability Group
Every component of the index — the nine capability domains and the 73 capability groups inside them — with capabilities counted, the mean across the nations in view, the spread of those scores and the nation that tops them. On each bar the light band is the full range from lowest to highest, the solid band is the middle half from the first to the third quartile, and the white dot is the median. Pick a region and every row is recomputed over that region's nations alone, best performer included.

Capability group rating distributions

Index ComponentCapabilitiesScoreRating DistributionBest Performer
Critical Technology 47 3.5 United States🇺🇸
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing 7 3.9 United States🇺🇸
Energy Technologies 5 3.6 China🇨🇳
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 6 2.4 United States🇺🇸
Artificial Intelligence 3 4.3 United States🇺🇸
Quantum Technologies 4 2.7 United States🇺🇸
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 5 4.2 United States🇺🇸
Sensing, Timing & Navigation 5 3.3 United States🇺🇸
Robotics & Autonomous Systems 4 3.6 United States🇺🇸
Biotechnology & Health Technologies 5 4.7 United States🇺🇸
Space Technologies 3 2.5 United States🇺🇸
Strategic Infrastructure 62 7.8 United States🇺🇸
Resource Infrastructure 4 6.9 United States🇺🇸
Agriculture & Food Infrastructure 4 8.2 United States🇺🇸
Energy Infrastructure 8 7.1 China🇨🇳
Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure 5 8.6 Singapore🇸🇬
Advanced Manufacturing 5 7.1 China🇨🇳+1
Transport Infrastructure 8 8.3 China🇨🇳
Communications & Digital Infrastructure 7 9.0 United States🇺🇸
Financial Infrastructure 4 9.0 United States🇺🇸
Social Infrastructure 11 8.9 United States🇺🇸
Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure 6 4.7 United States🇺🇸
National Security 39 4.9 United States🇺🇸
Force Generation & Mobilisation 3 7.7 United States🇺🇸
Intelligence & Assessment 6 6.4 United States🇺🇸
Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment 6 5.7 United States🇺🇸
Land Power 4 6.6 United States🇺🇸
Maritime Power 4 4.6 United States🇺🇸
Air Power 4 5.1 United States🇺🇸
Strategic Strike & Missile Defence 3 3.9 United States🇺🇸
Space Operations 3 3.3 United States🇺🇸
Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations 3 5.5 United States🇺🇸
Nuclear Deterrence 3 0.8 United States🇺🇸
Human Capital 25 8.5 Singapore🇸🇬
Early Childhood Development 2 10.3 Finland🇫🇮
Foundational Education 4 10.0 Singapore🇸🇬
Advanced Education 3 8.5 United States🇺🇸
Technical & Vocational Skills 2 7.9 Germany🇩🇪+1
Digital & AI Competence 2 7.6 Singapore🇸🇬
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling 3 7.4 Singapore🇸🇬
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation 3 6.8 United States🇺🇸
Population Health 3 8.9 Sweden🇸🇪
Health System Capability 3 9.4 Japan🇯🇵
Information & Influence 18 6.9 United States🇺🇸
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks 4 7.8 United States🇺🇸
Alliances & Security Cooperation 2 8.0 United States🇺🇸
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance 2 5.3 United States🇺🇸
Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy 5 6.8 United States🇺🇸
Diaspora & Global Communities 2 7.3 India🇮🇳+1
Information Environment & Strategic Communication 3 6.4 United States🇺🇸
Governance & Integrity 28 8.7 Finland🇫🇮
Political Institutions & Civic Participation 3 9.0 Denmark🇩🇰+2
Justice System & Fundamental Rights 4 8.5 Denmark🇩🇰+2
Internal Security & Order 3 8.8 Singapore🇸🇬
Regulatory Governance & Strategic Controls 3 7.7 United Kingdom🇬🇧+1
Government Effectiveness & Public Administration 5 10.0 Singapore🇸🇬
Public Integrity & Anti-Corruption 2 8.0 Singapore🇸🇬
Transparency, Oversight & Accountability 3 8.4 Finland🇫🇮+1
National Resilience & Crisis Management 5 8.9 Japan🇯🇵
Financial Strength 24 8.1 United States🇺🇸
Monetary & Currency Capability 3 8.6 United States🇺🇸
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance 4 8.8 Singapore🇸🇬
Financial System Depth & Access 5 8.1 United States🇺🇸
Financial Regulation & Integrity 4 8.4 United States🇺🇸
Financial Stability & Crisis Management 3 8.1 United States🇺🇸
Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power 5 6.5 Singapore🇸🇬+1
Production & Innovation 23 7.3 United States🇺🇸
Economic Output & Productivity 2 7.2 United States🇺🇸
Labour & Employment 4 7.9 Denmark🇩🇰
Industrial & Sectoral Base 4 7.9 United States🇺🇸
Structural Transformation & Complexity 3 7.4 United States🇺🇸
Business Dynamism & Entrepreneurship 4 7.1 United States🇺🇸
Innovation & Commercialisation 4 6.1 United States🇺🇸
Technology Adoption & Diffusion 2 7.7 United States🇺🇸
Trade & Investment 22 7.7 Singapore🇸🇬
Trade Facilitation & Logistics 2 8.4 Singapore🇸🇬
Trade Policy & Market Access 4 8.4 United States🇺🇸
Digital & Services Trade 4 8.0 Singapore🇸🇬+1
Investment Attraction & Projection 3 7.2 Singapore🇸🇬+1
Export Capability & Sophistication 3 6.8 Japan🇯🇵
Global Value Chain Position 3 8.0 Singapore🇸🇬
Economic Leverage & Dependence 3 6.8 United States🇺🇸
Method

Candidate ratings, not adopted ratings

These are simulated expert codings produced under the GINC protocol by a panel of five language models from four vendors and three jurisdictions, in two rounds, with no human adjudication and no source documents attached to any cell. Round-1 spread, not round-3 agreement, is the honest reliability estimate. The method, the panel, the aggregation rule and the known problems are written up in full in analysis/README.md.