Hard/National Security/Nuclear Deterrence

Nuclear Forces

The capacity to hold an adversary at risk with survivable nuclear forces: the deployed triad or dyad and the warheads they deliver.
factbase.org/cap/A8Y8M5JM0T
World mean
0.7
of 20 · median 0.0
Range
0–20
middle half 0.0–0.0
Panel SD
±0.04
round 1 ±0.15 — the honest estimate
Leader
20
United States

Indicators

The measures seeded for this capability in the framework. They are candidate indicators: no cell in the index has a source document attached to it yet.

Band spread across 197 nations

Frontier 2
Advanced 3
Established 4
Transitional 0
Foundational 0
Nascent 0
Inception 188

All 197 nations

Best first. The score is the mean of the four adjudicators' round-3 integers, rounded to the nearest integer; ±SD is their spread on that cell. Where the spread is three points or more, read the number as a band rather than a value.

#NationRegionScoreBandPanel SD
1 🇺🇸United States Americas 20 Frontier ±0.43
2 🇷🇺Russia Europe 19 Frontier ±0.71
3 🇨🇳China Asia Pacific 17 Advanced ±0.71
4 🇫🇷France Europe 17 Advanced ±0.43
5 🇬🇧United Kingdom Europe 16 Advanced ±0.00
6 🇮🇳India Asia Pacific 14 Established ±0.43
7 🇮🇱Israel Middle East 13 Established ±0.43
8 🇵🇰Pakistan Asia Pacific 13 Established ±0.43
9 🇰🇵North Korea Asia Pacific 12 Established ±0.50
10 🇧🇾Belarus Europe 1 Inception ±1.30
11 🇧🇪Belgium Europe 1 Inception ±1.73
12 🇦🇫Afghanistan Asia Pacific 0 Inception ±0.00
13 🇦🇱Albania Europe 0 Inception ±0.00
14 🇩🇿Algeria Africa 0 Inception ±0.00
15 🇦🇩Andorra Europe 0 Inception ±0.00
16 🇦🇴Angola Africa 0 Inception ±0.00
17 🇦🇬Antigua & Barbuda Americas 0 Inception ±0.00
18 🇦🇷Argentina Americas 0 Inception ±0.00
19 🇦🇲Armenia Middle East 0 Inception ±0.00
20 🇦🇺Australia Asia Pacific 0 Inception ±0.00
21 🇦🇹Austria Europe 0 Inception ±0.00
22 🇦🇿Azerbaijan Middle East 0 Inception ±0.00
23 🇧🇸Bahamas Americas 0 Inception ±0.00
24 🇧🇭Bahrain Middle East 0 Inception ±0.00
25 🇧🇩Bangladesh Asia Pacific 0 Inception ±0.00
26 🇧🇧Barbados Americas 0 Inception ±0.00
27 🇧🇿Belize Americas 0 Inception ±0.00
28 🇧🇯Benin Africa 0 Inception ±0.00
29 🇧🇹Bhutan Asia Pacific 0 Inception ±0.00
30 🇧🇴Bolivia Americas 0 Inception ±0.00
31 🇧🇦Bosnia & Herzegovina Europe 0 Inception ±0.00
32 🇧🇼Botswana Africa 0 Inception ±0.00
33 🇧🇷Brazil Americas 0 Inception ±0.00
34 🇧🇳Brunei Asia Pacific 0 Inception ±0.00
35 🇧🇬Bulgaria Europe 0 Inception ±0.00
36 🇧🇫Burkina Faso Africa 0 Inception ±0.00
37 🇧🇮Burundi Africa 0 Inception ±0.00
38 🇨🇻Cabo Verde Africa 0 Inception ±0.00
39 🇰🇭Cambodia Asia Pacific 0 Inception ±0.00
40 🇨🇲Cameroon Africa 0 Inception ±0.00
41 🇨🇦Canada Americas 0 Inception ±0.00
42 🇨🇫Central African Rep. Africa 0 Inception ±0.00
43 🇹🇩Chad Africa 0 Inception ±0.00
44 🇨🇱Chile Americas 0 Inception ±0.00
45 🇨🇴Colombia Americas 0 Inception ±0.00
46 🇰🇲Comoros Africa 0 Inception ±0.00
47 🇨🇬Congo Africa 0 Inception ±0.00
48 🇨🇷Costa Rica Americas 0 Inception ±0.00
49 🇨🇮Côte d'Ivoire Africa 0 Inception ±0.00
50 🇭🇷Croatia Europe 0 Inception ±0.00
51 🇨🇺Cuba Americas 0 Inception ±0.00
52 🇨🇾Cyprus Middle East 0 Inception ±0.00
53 🇨🇿Czechia Europe 0 Inception ±0.00
54 🇩🇰Denmark Europe 0 Inception ±0.00
55 🇩🇯Djibouti Africa 0 Inception ±0.00
56 🇩🇲Dominica Americas 0 Inception ±0.00
57 🇩🇴Dominican Republic Americas 0 Inception ±0.00
58 🇨🇩DR Congo Africa 0 Inception ±0.00
59 🇪🇨Ecuador Americas 0 Inception ±0.00
60 🇪🇬Egypt Africa 0 Inception ±0.00
61 🇸🇻El Salvador Americas 0 Inception ±0.00
62 🇬🇶Equatorial Guinea Africa 0 Inception ±0.00
63 🇪🇷Eritrea Africa 0 Inception ±0.00
64 🇪🇪Estonia Europe 0 Inception ±0.00
65 🇸🇿Eswatini Africa 0 Inception ±0.00
66 🇪🇹Ethiopia Africa 0 Inception ±0.00
67 🇫🇯Fiji Asia Pacific 0 Inception ±0.00
68 🇫🇮Finland Europe 0 Inception ±0.00
69 🇬🇦Gabon Africa 0 Inception ±0.00
70 🇬🇲Gambia Africa 0 Inception ±0.00
71 🇬🇪Georgia Middle East 0 Inception ±0.00
72 🇩🇪Germany Europe 0 Inception ±0.00
73 🇬🇭Ghana Africa 0 Inception ±0.00
74 🇬🇷Greece Europe 0 Inception ±0.00
75 🇬🇩Grenada Americas 0 Inception ±0.00
76 🇬🇹Guatemala Americas 0 Inception ±0.00
77 🇬🇳Guinea Africa 0 Inception ±0.00
78 🇬🇼Guinea-Bissau Africa 0 Inception ±0.00
79 🇬🇾Guyana Americas 0 Inception ±0.00
80 🇭🇹Haiti Americas 0 Inception ±0.00
81 🇻🇦Holy See Europe 0 Inception ±0.00
82 🇭🇳Honduras Americas 0 Inception ±0.00
83 🇭🇺Hungary Europe 0 Inception ±0.00
84 🇮🇸Iceland Europe 0 Inception ±0.00
85 🇮🇩Indonesia Asia Pacific 0 Inception ±0.00
86 🇮🇷Iran Asia Pacific 0 Inception ±0.00
87 🇮🇶Iraq Middle East 0 Inception ±0.00
88 🇮🇪Ireland Europe 0 Inception ±0.00
89 🇮🇹Italy Europe 0 Inception ±0.00
90 🇯🇲Jamaica Americas 0 Inception ±0.00
91 🇯🇵Japan Asia Pacific 0 Inception ±0.00
92 🇯🇴Jordan Middle East 0 Inception ±0.00
93 🇰🇿Kazakhstan Asia Pacific 0 Inception ±0.00
94 🇰🇪Kenya Africa 0 Inception ±0.00
95 🇰🇮Kiribati Asia Pacific 0 Inception ±0.00
96 🇽🇰Kosovo Europe 0 Inception ±0.00
97 🇰🇼Kuwait Middle East 0 Inception ±0.00
98 🇰🇬Kyrgyzstan Asia Pacific 0 Inception ±0.00
99 🇱🇦Laos Asia Pacific 0 Inception ±0.00
100 🇱🇻Latvia Europe 0 Inception ±0.00
101 🇱🇧Lebanon Middle East 0 Inception ±0.00
102 🇱🇸Lesotho Africa 0 Inception ±0.00
103 🇱🇷Liberia Africa 0 Inception ±0.00
104 🇱🇾Libya Africa 0 Inception ±0.00
105 🇱🇮Liechtenstein Europe 0 Inception ±0.00
106 🇱🇹Lithuania Europe 0 Inception ±0.00
107 🇱🇺Luxembourg Europe 0 Inception ±0.00
108 🇲🇬Madagascar Africa 0 Inception ±0.00
109 🇲🇼Malawi Africa 0 Inception ±0.00
110 🇲🇾Malaysia Asia Pacific 0 Inception ±0.00
111 🇲🇻Maldives Asia Pacific 0 Inception ±0.00
112 🇲🇱Mali Africa 0 Inception ±0.00
113 🇲🇹Malta Europe 0 Inception ±0.00
114 🇲🇭Marshall Islands Asia Pacific 0 Inception ±0.00
115 🇲🇷Mauritania Africa 0 Inception ±0.00
116 🇲🇺Mauritius Africa 0 Inception ±0.00
117 🇲🇽Mexico Americas 0 Inception ±0.00
118 🇫🇲Micronesia Asia Pacific 0 Inception ±0.00
119 🇲🇩Moldova Europe 0 Inception ±0.00
120 🇲🇨Monaco Europe 0 Inception ±0.00
121 🇲🇳Mongolia Asia Pacific 0 Inception ±0.00
122 🇲🇪Montenegro Europe 0 Inception ±0.00
123 🇲🇦Morocco Africa 0 Inception ±0.00
124 🇲🇿Mozambique Africa 0 Inception ±0.00
125 🇲🇲Myanmar Asia Pacific 0 Inception ±0.00
126 🇳🇦Namibia Africa 0 Inception ±0.00
127 🇳🇷Nauru Asia Pacific 0 Inception ±0.00
128 🇳🇵Nepal Asia Pacific 0 Inception ±0.00
129 🇳🇱Netherlands Europe 0 Inception ±0.00
130 🇳🇿New Zealand Asia Pacific 0 Inception ±0.00
131 🇳🇮Nicaragua Americas 0 Inception ±0.00
132 🇳🇪Niger Africa 0 Inception ±0.00
133 🇳🇬Nigeria Africa 0 Inception ±0.00
134 🇲🇰North Macedonia Europe 0 Inception ±0.00
135 🇳🇴Norway Europe 0 Inception ±0.00
136 🇴🇲Oman Middle East 0 Inception ±0.00
137 🇵🇼Palau Asia Pacific 0 Inception ±0.00
138 🇵🇸Palestine Middle East 0 Inception ±0.00
139 🇵🇦Panama Americas 0 Inception ±0.00
140 🇵🇬Papua New Guinea Asia Pacific 0 Inception ±0.00
141 🇵🇾Paraguay Americas 0 Inception ±0.00
142 🇵🇪Peru Americas 0 Inception ±0.00
143 🇵🇭Philippines Asia Pacific 0 Inception ±0.00
144 🇵🇱Poland Europe 0 Inception ±0.00
145 🇵🇹Portugal Europe 0 Inception ±0.00
146 🇶🇦Qatar Middle East 0 Inception ±0.00
147 🇷🇴Romania Europe 0 Inception ±0.00
148 🇷🇼Rwanda Africa 0 Inception ±0.00
149 🇰🇳Saint Kitts & Nevis Americas 0 Inception ±0.00
150 🇱🇨Saint Lucia Americas 0 Inception ±0.00
151 🇻🇨Saint Vincent & Grenadines Americas 0 Inception ±0.00
152 🇼🇸Samoa Asia Pacific 0 Inception ±0.00
153 🇸🇲San Marino Europe 0 Inception ±0.00
154 🇸🇹São Tomé & Príncipe Africa 0 Inception ±0.00
155 🇸🇦Saudi Arabia Middle East 0 Inception ±0.00
156 🇸🇳Senegal Africa 0 Inception ±0.00
157 🇷🇸Serbia Europe 0 Inception ±0.00
158 🇸🇨Seychelles Africa 0 Inception ±0.00
159 🇸🇱Sierra Leone Africa 0 Inception ±0.00
160 🇸🇬Singapore Asia Pacific 0 Inception ±0.00
161 🇸🇰Slovakia Europe 0 Inception ±0.00
162 🇸🇮Slovenia Europe 0 Inception ±0.00
163 🇸🇧Solomon Islands Asia Pacific 0 Inception ±0.00
164 🇸🇴Somalia Africa 0 Inception ±0.00
165 🇿🇦South Africa Africa 0 Inception ±0.00
166 🇰🇷South Korea Asia Pacific 0 Inception ±0.00
167 🇸🇸South Sudan Africa 0 Inception ±0.00
168 🇪🇸Spain Europe 0 Inception ±0.00
169 🇱🇰Sri Lanka Asia Pacific 0 Inception ±0.00
170 🇸🇩Sudan Africa 0 Inception ±0.00
171 🇸🇷Suriname Americas 0 Inception ±0.00
172 🇸🇪Sweden Europe 0 Inception ±0.00
173 🇨🇭Switzerland Europe 0 Inception ±0.00
174 🇸🇾Syria Middle East 0 Inception ±0.00
175 🇹🇼Taiwan Asia Pacific 0 Inception ±0.00
176 🇹🇯Tajikistan Asia Pacific 0 Inception ±0.00
177 🇹🇿Tanzania Africa 0 Inception ±0.00
178 🇹🇭Thailand Asia Pacific 0 Inception ±0.00
179 🇹🇱Timor-Leste Asia Pacific 0 Inception ±0.00
180 🇹🇬Togo Africa 0 Inception ±0.00
181 🇹🇴Tonga Asia Pacific 0 Inception ±0.00
182 🇹🇹Trinidad & Tobago Americas 0 Inception ±0.00
183 🇹🇳Tunisia Africa 0 Inception ±0.00
184 🇹🇷Türkiye Middle East 0 Inception ±0.00
185 🇹🇲Turkmenistan Asia Pacific 0 Inception ±0.00
186 🇹🇻Tuvalu Asia Pacific 0 Inception ±0.00
187 🇺🇬Uganda Africa 0 Inception ±0.00
188 🇺🇦Ukraine Europe 0 Inception ±0.00
189 🇦🇪United Arab Emirates Middle East 0 Inception ±0.00
190 🇺🇾Uruguay Americas 0 Inception ±0.00
191 🇺🇿Uzbekistan Asia Pacific 0 Inception ±0.00
192 🇻🇺Vanuatu Asia Pacific 0 Inception ±0.00
193 🇻🇪Venezuela Americas 0 Inception ±0.00
194 🇻🇳Vietnam Asia Pacific 0 Inception ±0.00
195 🇾🇪Yemen Middle East 0 Inception ±0.00
196 🇿🇲Zambia Africa 0 Inception ±0.00
197 🇿🇼Zimbabwe Africa 0 Inception ±0.00

Others in Nuclear Deterrence

CapabilityWorld meanRangeLeader
Nuclear Command, Control & Communications0.90–20United States
Stockpile Stewardship & Sustainment0.70–20United States