All-Source Analysis & Warning — National Capability Index

Band spread across 197 nations

Frontier 4

Advanced 12

Established 23

Transitional 33

Foundational 39

Nascent 52

Inception 34

All 197 nations

Best first. The score is the mean of the four adjudicators' round-3 integers, rounded to the nearest integer; ±SD is their spread on that cell. Where the spread is three points or more, read the number as a band rather than a value.

#	Nation	Region	Score	Band	Panel SD
1	🇺🇸United States	Americas	20	Frontier	±0.00
2	🇫🇷France	Europe	18	Frontier	±0.43
3	🇮🇱Israel	Middle East	18	Frontier	±0.00
4	🇬🇧United Kingdom	Europe	18	Frontier	±0.43
5	🇨🇳China	Asia Pacific	17	Advanced	±0.00
6	🇦🇺Australia	Asia Pacific	16	Advanced	±0.43
7	🇩🇪Germany	Europe	16	Advanced	±0.00
8	🇸🇬Singapore	Asia Pacific	16	Advanced	±0.43
9	🇰🇷South Korea	Asia Pacific	16	Advanced	±0.43
10	🇨🇦Canada	Americas	15	Advanced	±0.43
11	🇫🇮Finland	Europe	15	Advanced	±0.43
12	🇯🇵Japan	Asia Pacific	15	Advanced	±0.71
13	🇳🇱Netherlands	Europe	15	Advanced	±0.43
14	🇳🇴Norway	Europe	15	Advanced	±0.00
15	🇷🇺Russia	Europe	15	Advanced	±0.43
16	🇸🇪Sweden	Europe	15	Advanced	±0.43
17	🇩🇰Denmark	Europe	14	Established	±0.00
18	🇮🇳India	Asia Pacific	14	Established	±0.43
19	🇮🇹Italy	Europe	14	Established	±0.50
20	🇵🇱Poland	Europe	14	Established	±0.00
21	🇪🇸Spain	Europe	14	Established	±0.00
22	🇨🇭Switzerland	Europe	14	Established	±0.50
23	🇹🇼Taiwan	Asia Pacific	14	Established	±0.43
24	🇹🇷Türkiye	Middle East	14	Established	±0.00
25	🇺🇦Ukraine	Europe	14	Established	±0.00
26	🇪🇪Estonia	Europe	13	Established	±0.43
27	🇱🇹Lithuania	Europe	13	Established	±0.50
28	🇳🇿New Zealand	Asia Pacific	13	Established	±0.43
29	🇸🇦Saudi Arabia	Middle East	13	Established	±0.50
30	🇧🇪Belgium	Europe	12	Established	±0.43
31	🇧🇷Brazil	Americas	12	Established	±0.50
32	🇨🇿Czechia	Europe	12	Established	±0.43
33	🇬🇷Greece	Europe	12	Established	±0.43
34	🇮🇷Iran	Asia Pacific	12	Established	±0.43
35	🇲🇾Malaysia	Asia Pacific	12	Established	±0.43
36	🇲🇦Morocco	Africa	12	Established	±0.43
37	🇵🇰Pakistan	Asia Pacific	12	Established	±0.00
38	🇷🇴Romania	Europe	12	Established	±0.43
39	🇦🇪United Arab Emirates	Middle East	12	Established	±0.43
40	🇨🇴Colombia	Americas	11	Transitional	±0.00
41	🇪🇬Egypt	Africa	11	Transitional	±0.43
42	🇭🇺Hungary	Europe	11	Transitional	±0.00
43	🇮🇩Indonesia	Asia Pacific	11	Transitional	±0.00
44	🇯🇴Jordan	Middle East	11	Transitional	±0.50
45	🇱🇻Latvia	Europe	11	Transitional	±0.71
46	🇲🇽Mexico	Americas	11	Transitional	±0.50
47	🇰🇵North Korea	Asia Pacific	11	Transitional	±0.43
48	🇵🇹Portugal	Europe	11	Transitional	±0.43
49	🇹🇭Thailand	Asia Pacific	11	Transitional	±0.43
50	🇻🇳Vietnam	Asia Pacific	11	Transitional	±0.43
51	🇩🇿Algeria	Africa	10	Transitional	±0.43
52	🇦🇹Austria	Europe	10	Transitional	±0.71
53	🇨🇱Chile	Americas	10	Transitional	±0.71
54	🇭🇷Croatia	Europe	10	Transitional	±0.43
55	🇵🇭Philippines	Asia Pacific	10	Transitional	±0.50
56	🇷🇸Serbia	Europe	10	Transitional	±0.00
57	🇸🇰Slovakia	Europe	10	Transitional	±0.00
58	🇸🇮Slovenia	Europe	10	Transitional	±0.50
59	🇿🇦South Africa	Africa	10	Transitional	±0.71
60	🇦🇷Argentina	Americas	9	Transitional	±0.43
61	🇦🇿Azerbaijan	Middle East	9	Transitional	±0.43
62	🇧🇾Belarus	Europe	9	Transitional	±0.00
63	🇧🇬Bulgaria	Europe	9	Transitional	±0.00
64	🇨🇺Cuba	Americas	9	Transitional	±0.50
65	🇬🇪Georgia	Middle East	9	Transitional	±0.43
66	🇮🇪Ireland	Europe	9	Transitional	±0.87
67	🇰🇿Kazakhstan	Asia Pacific	9	Transitional	±0.00
68	🇰🇪Kenya	Africa	9	Transitional	±0.43
69	🇳🇬Nigeria	Africa	9	Transitional	±0.43
70	🇴🇲Oman	Middle East	9	Transitional	±0.43
71	🇵🇪Peru	Americas	9	Transitional	±0.50
72	🇶🇦Qatar	Middle East	9	Transitional	±0.71
73	🇧🇩Bangladesh	Asia Pacific	8	Foundational	±0.43
74	🇪🇹Ethiopia	Africa	8	Foundational	±0.43
75	🇰🇼Kuwait	Middle East	8	Foundational	±0.50
76	🇷🇼Rwanda	Africa	8	Foundational	±0.43
77	🇱🇰Sri Lanka	Asia Pacific	8	Foundational	±0.43
78	🇹🇳Tunisia	Africa	8	Foundational	±0.71
79	🇦🇲Armenia	Middle East	7	Foundational	±0.43
80	🇧🇭Bahrain	Middle East	7	Foundational	±0.00
81	🇨🇾Cyprus	Middle East	7	Foundational	±0.00
82	🇪🇨Ecuador	Americas	7	Foundational	±0.43
83	🇬🇭Ghana	Africa	7	Foundational	±0.00
84	🇮🇶Iraq	Middle East	7	Foundational	±0.00
85	🇱🇺Luxembourg	Europe	7	Foundational	±0.00
86	🇲🇹Malta	Europe	7	Foundational	±0.50
87	🇲🇩Moldova	Europe	7	Foundational	±0.43
88	🇲🇪Montenegro	Europe	7	Foundational	±0.43
89	🇲🇲Myanmar	Asia Pacific	7	Foundational	±0.43
90	🇲🇰North Macedonia	Europe	7	Foundational	±0.00
91	🇸🇳Senegal	Africa	7	Foundational	±0.43
92	🇺🇬Uganda	Africa	7	Foundational	±0.43
93	🇻🇪Venezuela	Americas	7	Foundational	±0.00
94	🇦🇱Albania	Europe	6	Foundational	±0.43
95	🇦🇴Angola	Africa	6	Foundational	±0.50
96	🇧🇦Bosnia & Herzegovina	Europe	6	Foundational	±0.00
97	🇩🇴Dominican Republic	Americas	6	Foundational	±0.00
98	🇸🇻El Salvador	Americas	6	Foundational	±0.00
99	🇬🇹Guatemala	Americas	6	Foundational	±0.00
100	🇰🇬Kyrgyzstan	Asia Pacific	6	Foundational	±0.43
101	🇱🇧Lebanon	Middle East	6	Foundational	±0.43
102	🇲🇺Mauritius	Africa	6	Foundational	±0.00
103	🇲🇳Mongolia	Asia Pacific	6	Foundational	±0.43
104	🇳🇮Nicaragua	Americas	6	Foundational	±0.50
105	🇵🇦Panama	Americas	6	Foundational	±0.71
106	🇸🇾Syria	Middle East	6	Foundational	±0.50
107	🇹🇿Tanzania	Africa	6	Foundational	±0.00
108	🇹🇹Trinidad & Tobago	Americas	6	Foundational	±0.50
109	🇺🇾Uruguay	Americas	6	Foundational	±0.43
110	🇺🇿Uzbekistan	Asia Pacific	6	Foundational	±0.00
111	🇿🇼Zimbabwe	Africa	6	Foundational	±0.43
112	🇧🇴Bolivia	Americas	5	Nascent	±0.00
113	🇧🇼Botswana	Africa	5	Nascent	±0.00
114	🇧🇳Brunei	Asia Pacific	5	Nascent	±0.43
115	🇰🇭Cambodia	Asia Pacific	5	Nascent	±0.43
116	🇨🇲Cameroon	Africa	5	Nascent	±0.00
117	🇨🇷Costa Rica	Americas	5	Nascent	±0.00
118	🇨🇮Côte d'Ivoire	Africa	5	Nascent	±0.43
119	🇭🇳Honduras	Americas	5	Nascent	±0.43
120	🇮🇸Iceland	Europe	5	Nascent	±0.83
121	🇯🇲Jamaica	Americas	5	Nascent	±0.43
122	🇽🇰Kosovo	Europe	5	Nascent	±0.43
123	🇲🇱Mali	Africa	5	Nascent	±0.43
124	🇲🇷Mauritania	Africa	5	Nascent	±0.50
125	🇲🇿Mozambique	Africa	5	Nascent	±0.43
126	🇳🇦Namibia	Africa	5	Nascent	±0.43
127	🇳🇵Nepal	Asia Pacific	5	Nascent	±0.43
128	🇵🇾Paraguay	Americas	5	Nascent	±0.43
129	🇸🇩Sudan	Africa	5	Nascent	±0.43
130	🇹🇯Tajikistan	Asia Pacific	5	Nascent	±0.00
131	🇿🇲Zambia	Africa	5	Nascent	±0.71
132	🇧🇯Benin	Africa	4	Nascent	±0.00
133	🇧🇫Burkina Faso	Africa	4	Nascent	±0.00
134	🇹🇩Chad	Africa	4	Nascent	±0.43
135	🇩🇯Djibouti	Africa	4	Nascent	±0.43
136	🇨🇩DR Congo	Africa	4	Nascent	±0.50
137	🇪🇷Eritrea	Africa	4	Nascent	±0.43
138	🇫🇯Fiji	Asia Pacific	4	Nascent	±0.43
139	🇬🇦Gabon	Africa	4	Nascent	±0.43
140	🇬🇾Guyana	Americas	4	Nascent	±0.50
141	🇱🇦Laos	Asia Pacific	4	Nascent	±0.71
142	🇱🇾Libya	Africa	4	Nascent	±0.43
143	🇲🇬Madagascar	Africa	4	Nascent	±0.00
144	🇲🇼Malawi	Africa	4	Nascent	±0.00
145	🇲🇻Maldives	Asia Pacific	4	Nascent	±0.50
146	🇳🇪Niger	Africa	4	Nascent	±0.00
147	🇵🇸Palestine	Middle East	4	Nascent	±0.43
148	🇵🇬Papua New Guinea	Asia Pacific	4	Nascent	±0.43
149	🇸🇱Sierra Leone	Africa	4	Nascent	±0.00
150	🇸🇴Somalia	Africa	4	Nascent	±0.43
151	🇹🇬Togo	Africa	4	Nascent	±0.43
152	🇹🇲Turkmenistan	Asia Pacific	4	Nascent	±0.00
153	🇧🇮Burundi	Africa	3	Nascent	±0.71
154	🇨🇬Congo	Africa	3	Nascent	±0.00
155	🇬🇶Equatorial Guinea	Africa	3	Nascent	±0.00
156	🇸🇿Eswatini	Africa	3	Nascent	±0.43
157	🇬🇲Gambia	Africa	3	Nascent	±0.43
158	🇬🇳Guinea	Africa	3	Nascent	±0.00
159	🇱🇸Lesotho	Africa	3	Nascent	±0.00
160	🇱🇷Liberia	Africa	3	Nascent	±0.00
161	🇸🇸South Sudan	Africa	3	Nascent	±0.50
162	🇹🇱Timor-Leste	Asia Pacific	3	Nascent	±0.43
163	🇾🇪Yemen	Middle East	3	Nascent	±0.00
164	🇦🇫Afghanistan	Asia Pacific	2	Inception	±0.00
165	🇦🇬Antigua & Barbuda	Americas	2	Inception	±0.43
166	🇧🇸Bahamas	Americas	2	Inception	±0.43
167	🇧🇧Barbados	Americas	2	Inception	±0.00
168	🇧🇿Belize	Americas	2	Inception	±0.00
169	🇧🇹Bhutan	Asia Pacific	2	Inception	±0.00
170	🇨🇻Cabo Verde	Africa	2	Inception	±0.00
171	🇨🇫Central African Rep.	Africa	2	Inception	±0.00
172	🇬🇩Grenada	Americas	2	Inception	±0.00
173	🇬🇼Guinea-Bissau	Africa	2	Inception	±0.00
174	🇭🇹Haiti	Americas	2	Inception	±0.43
175	🇲🇨Monaco	Europe	2	Inception	±0.00
176	🇼🇸Samoa	Asia Pacific	2	Inception	±0.50
177	🇸🇨Seychelles	Africa	2	Inception	±0.43
178	🇸🇧Solomon Islands	Asia Pacific	2	Inception	±0.50
179	🇸🇷Suriname	Americas	2	Inception	±0.00
180	🇰🇲Comoros	Africa	1	Inception	±0.43
181	🇩🇲Dominica	Americas	1	Inception	±0.00
182	🇻🇦Holy See	Europe	1	Inception	±0.00
183	🇰🇮Kiribati	Asia Pacific	1	Inception	±0.00
184	🇱🇮Liechtenstein	Europe	1	Inception	±0.00
185	🇲🇭Marshall Islands	Asia Pacific	1	Inception	±0.00
186	🇫🇲Micronesia	Asia Pacific	1	Inception	±0.00
187	🇳🇷Nauru	Asia Pacific	1	Inception	±0.00
188	🇵🇼Palau	Asia Pacific	1	Inception	±0.00
189	🇰🇳Saint Kitts & Nevis	Americas	1	Inception	±0.00
190	🇱🇨Saint Lucia	Americas	1	Inception	±0.43
191	🇻🇨Saint Vincent & Grenadines	Americas	1	Inception	±0.43
192	🇸🇹São Tomé & Príncipe	Africa	1	Inception	±0.00
193	🇹🇴Tonga	Asia Pacific	1	Inception	±0.00
194	🇹🇻Tuvalu	Asia Pacific	1	Inception	±0.00
195	🇻🇺Vanuatu	Asia Pacific	1	Inception	±0.43
196	🇦🇩Andorra	Europe	0	Inception	±0.43
197	🇸🇲San Marino	Europe	0	Inception	±0.00

Others in Intelligence & Assessment

Capability	World mean	Range	Leader
Imagery & Geospatial Intelligence	4.9	0–20	United States
Signals & Cyber Intelligence	6.3	0–20	United States
Technical & Measurement Intelligence	4.9	0–20	United States
Open-Source & Financial Intelligence	7.2	1–20	United States
Human Intelligence & Counterintelligence	7.9	1–20	United States